Mathematical modeling and numerical simulations of Zika in Colombia considering mutation

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dc.contributor.authorAranda, Diego F.
dc.contributor.authorGonzález Parra, Gilberto
dc.contributor.authorBenincasa, Tommaso
dc.contributor.orcidBenincasa, Tommaso [0000-0002-3159-1515]
dc.date.accessioned2020-05-14T16:33:35Z
dc.date.available2020-05-14T16:33:35Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.description.abstractenglishIn this paper, we analyze the Zika virus transmission dynamics on human and mosquito populations. Mosquitoes play a role of infectious agents and vector of the Zika virus (ZIKV). In this sense, we set out a mathematical model assuming constant size population for the evolution of the infected humans with ZIKV and analyze its qualitative dynamics. The epidemic threshold parameter for the extinction of disease is computed. Numerical simulations of the model varying the numerical values of the parameters corroborate the theoretical results regarding . The values of the parameters related to the mathematical model of the Zika epidemic are estimated using real data from Zika prevalence in Colombia for year 2016. We find a for this particular case which allows us to understand and explain some aspects of the Zika epidemic in Colombia. These results are valuable since they can be compared with Zika epidemics in other countries and from other years, and enrich the knowledge about the dynamics of the spread of Zika virus.eng
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.matcom.2019.02.009
dc.identifier.issn0378-4754
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12495/2762
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherElsevierspa
dc.publisher.journalMathematics and Computers in Simulationspa
dc.relation.ispartofseriesMathematics and Computers in Simulation, 0378-4754, Vol 163, 2019, pag 1-18spa
dc.relation.urihttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0378475419300679
dc.rights.creativecommons2019
dc.rights.localAcceso cerradospa
dc.subject.decsVirus Zikaspa
dc.subject.decsEpidemiologíaspa
dc.subject.keywordsZika virusspa
dc.subject.keywordsNonlinear dynamical systemsspa
dc.subject.keywordsEpidemiological modelsspa
dc.subject.keywordsGlobal stabilityspa
dc.subject.keywordsEstimation of parametersspa
dc.titleMathematical modeling and numerical simulations of Zika in Colombia considering mutationspa
dc.title.translatedMathematical modeling and numerical simulations of Zika in Colombia considering mutationspa
dc.typearticlespa
dc.type.hasversioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
dc.type.localartículospa

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